Food speculation | World Development Movement

Join us in the fight for economic justice and an end to global poverty.

Food speculation

Syndicate content

Guest post by Innocent Sithole, used to be Web intern

...

George Osborne and his G20 counterparts failed to commit to the controls needed to curb soaring food prices at their Paris meeting which concluded on Saturday.

The finance ministers promised better regulation of commodity markets, where banks and hedge funds bet on the price of basic foods – but campaigners say the measures are not strong enough to prevent speculators driving up prices.

More than 450 economists wrote to the finance ministers ahead of their meeting this week, adding to increasingly vocal calls for controls on speculative activity. ‘With around 1 billion people enduring chronic hunger worldwide, action is urgently needed to curb excessive speculation and its effects on global food prices,’ said the letter.

The French government, currently holding the G20 presidency, is pushing for effective regulation. But ahead of the meeting, UK Chancellor George Osborne, heavily influenced by City of London lobbyists, was expected to prevent agreement on tougher controls at the Paris meeting, alongside the Brazilian and Australian finance ministers.

The US government has already moved...

This recipe is increasingly common for consumers in global food markets. Although unpalatable, it is gaining popularity with investment bankers and hedge fund managers.

Method:

1. Take a bunch of financial regulations, cut off the good parts and water them down.

2. Measure out several thousand tonnes of grain and other staple foods and add them to global markets. 

3. Quickly pour in huge amounts of hot speculative capital from investment banks and hedge funds. 

4. Watch as basic food prices rise. 

5. Serve with fat profits and a large portion of widespread hunger, poverty and malnutrition for the world’s poorest people.

Back in the 19th century, ‘futures markets’ for crops such as maize and wheat were set up to allow US farmers and buyers of food, such as millers and bakers, to protect themselves from changing prices. In the 1930s, following the Wall Street Crash, regulations were put in place to limit the involvement in these markets of banks and other financial institutions that had no interest in the food that was being sold, but were simply out to make profits.

These regulations stayed in place until the 1990s, when they were severely weakened by lobbying from banks such as Goldman...

Rosa Fletcher, used to be activism and events intern

Last week, Bandile Mdlalose, general secretary of the South African social movement Abahlali baseMjondolo was in the UK speaking at our climate justice speaker tour events. While she was here she spoke to WDM staff about rising food prices and hunger in South Africa. 

She told us how rising food prices and the privatisation of land is causing her and her family to struggle to buy more than mielie-meal (a relatively course flour and staple food in many parts of Africa, often made into ‘pap’, a porridge) on a daily basis. South Africa’s 1996 constitution states that every South African citizen has a right to sufficient food and water, yet this has not been achieved. Bandile stated that one of Abahlali baseMjondolo’s roles is to ‘reveal the unrevealed’ and her story around food poverty really highlights this. 

She described how her family and others in South Africa “are living in an environment we are unable to live in.” This is because more people are moving from being food producers to food consumers, vulnerable to price increases and volatility often linked to excessive financial speculation.

She described how her family’s food shopping has to...

Without any real supply or demand issues we are witness to the fact that most agricultural food commodities are at record highs at once, and coffee is at a 34-year high. Through financial speculation … the commodities market is in a very unfortunate position."
- Howard Shultz, chief executive of Starbucks

Financial speculation has overwhelmed agricultural derivative markets. It has inflated prices, increased price volatility and created bubbles completely unrelated to supply and demand.

For a simple, visual explanation of food speculation, check out the animation or the infographic – or for more detail, read on!

In a well-functioning market, prices should be affected only by changes in supply and demand. But data from the US Department of Agriculture on global supply and demand for wheat and maize shows that here have been no significant changes that could have caused the large price rises that we have seen in recent years. 

While other factors such as export bans, increased demand for biofuels, climate change and increased food consumption in...

The impact of financial speculation on food prices is now widely recognised, and this needs to be subject to control without delay.” 
- Olivier De Schutter, UN special rapporteur on the right to food

WDM is not alone in identifying excessive speculation as a key factor in driving up global food prices. Lots of world leaders, civil social organisations, financial and business experts, academics and media commentators all support regulation of commodity futures markets.

A market in Ghana

Campaign allies

Friends of the Earth Europe

World Ecology, Economy and Development, Germany

SOMO, the Netherlands

New economics foundation, UK

CRBM

Corporate Europe Observatory, Belgium

Oxfam International

Stop Gambling on Hunger, USA

...

If we do nothing, we risk having food riots in the poorest countries and also an unfavourable impact on global growth. We want regulation of the financial markets for commodities.”
- Nicholas Sarkozy, French president

We are putting pressure on the UK government to back proposals to regulate betting on food prices in financial markets.

Protest outside Barclays

Since July 2010, we have campaigned to raise the issue and it is now firmly on the political agenda in Europe. Proposals for regulation are being drawn up in the EU, but the financial industry, with the help of George Osborne and the UK Treasury, is lobbying hard against them.

These coming months are going to be crucial. The proposals for regulation were published in October 2011 and we will have to keep up the pressure to ensure that they are not watered down by the banking lobby or by the UK government. You can help us now by writing to the Treasury.

Click on this timeline to have a look at what we have done so far...

There is strong evidence that speculation exacerbated the last oil and food bubble. Speculation will fuel the next one too, unless meaningful speculative position limits are established.” 
- Sir Richard Branson, founder, Virgin Group

Our campaign has been featured in the media. Here is a selection of the coverage:

What Goldman Sachs should admit: it drives up the cost of food
the Guardian, 23 May 2013

A sunnier outlook for Barclays
the Independent, 26 April 2013

Exclusive: Britain running out of wheat as cold weather crisis hits farmers 
the Independent, 6 April 2013

Barclays rakes in up to £750m betting on food prices in just three years
the Daily Mail, 13...

“It is deeply alarming that the greatest proportion of activity in the futures markets no longer involves those in the supply chain but is, instead, taken up by speculators. Food commodities are too important to be played about with by day traders and speculators”
- President of National Farmers’ Union Scotland

Since we launched the campaign on food speculation in July 2010, we've produced and collected a range of resources on the issue. Here are some of the best.

More than 450 economists from over 40 countries have called on the G20 finance ministers, who are meeting in Paris this week, to take urgent action to stop financial speculation in commodity markets driving up food prices and fuelling hunger. 

'Excessive financial speculation is contributing to increasing volatility and record food prices, exacerbating global hunger and poverty,’ say the economists in a letter to the finance ministers. ‘With around 1 billion people enduring chronic hunger worldwide, action is urgently needed to curb excessive speculation and its effects on global food prices.

Economists from top universities including Cambridge, Oxford, Berkeley, Cornell and the London School of Economics have signed the letter, adding their voices to an escalating international campaign. The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organisation, the Pope, French President Nicolas Sarkozy and Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz are among those who have already spoken out in favour of curbing speculation.

The G20 agriculture ministers have also called on their finance counterparts to introduce tighter regulation. Speculation is...

As a regular reader of this blog you know that we’ve been campaigning for regulation of speculation on food prices for the last 18 months or so. We were therefore pleased to see that the topic of this year’s Blog Action Day, on 16 October, is food. 

The idea behind Blog Action Day – originally started in 2007 – is that on one day a year bloggers from around the world unite and write about one particular topic. Previous topics include water, climate change and poverty and last year 5,600 bloggers from 143 countries took part.

On the day itself WDM staff members will be blogging about food speculation. But what about you? Here are three things that you could do:

1. Write a blog post! 

After all, this is the main point of the day. Just register your blog now, then on 16 October post your blog entry on Twitter using the hashtag #BAD11. We’d love it if you were to write about food speculation and you can find lots of resources to help you on our food speculation resources web page. 

2. Take action!

Proposals to regulate food...

WDM is campaigning to stop food speculation

WDM campaign video with interviews from Kenya.

It’s no secret that successive UK governments have long favoured a “light touch” approach to regulating the financial sector. And it’s pretty obvious the mess that this has left us in. But until the research published this weekend by the Bureau of Investigative Journalism, most people didn’t quite realise the influence of the sector over the UK’s main governing party.

Figures published by the Bureau show how the proportion of income the Conservative party receive from the City of London has grown over the past year, and now makes up more than half of the total donations it receives. And within the financial sector, more donations come from hedge funds – big players in food speculation – than any other type of contributor.

These donations dwarf the contributions made by other industries – so it’s not surprising that, despite support for action to tackle food speculation from virtually every other sector of society, from the Pope to Starbucks, the UK government is still failing to support the regulation we need to curb...

Please open the link below to see the Economists' letter to the G20 finance ministers with the latest signatures.

 Jessica Radford, used to be campaigns and policy intern

The influx of financial participation in the commodity markets has played a key role in causing price rises and volatility. Prices are increasingly affected by the financial markets, rather than the needs of the consumers and farmers.

As you know we are campaigning to stop banks from betting on food and consequently forcing people into poverty and hunger. The food campaign is calling for regulation, which includes restrictions to be put on speculators preventing excessive betting on food prices and futures contracts to be traded on an open exchange with the banks required to provide more information on their activities.

The Ecologist recently went to Mexico, where they spoke to people about the price of maize tripling in a short time. This is the video they produced.

...

Broken Markets seeks to counter the arguments put forward by those sceptical of the influence of financial speculation on rising food prices. It shows how financial speculation has boomed, turning commodity derivatives into just another asset class for investors, distorting and undermining the effective functioning of agricultural markets.

It shows how these changes in the financial markets translate into changes in the price of food, and the devastating impact this has had on the world’s poorest people. It concludes by recommending urgent action to introduce new rules to limit the influence of financial speculators and bring transparency and stability to these out of control markets. 

Download report

The cover or Broken Markets

Food speculation - banks betting on food prices in financial markets - is a massive issue facing the world today. In the last few years, we have seen two major food price spikes, pushing millions of people into poverty. These food spikes were caused by speculation and could have been prevented through effective regulation. 

At the World Development Movement we are campaigning to stop banks betting on food and causing hunger. To explain the issue we have produced this infographic. Hope you like it. Please let us know what you think in the comments. 

For more information about how financial speculation impacts on food prices, see our Broken markets report

[Click on the image to enlarge it]

Infographic showing how banks cause hunger 

Update 5 October 2011: We have corrected the aid figures and their size relative to banks’ profits from food speculation; they now reflect the latest information.

It’s a year since we launched our campaign to curb financial speculation on food prices. A year packed with dramatising the impacts of speculation in games of human blackjack, meeting MPs, building international coalitions… and much more. But how far has all of this got us towards ending the scandal of banks causing hunger?

The problem certainly hasn’t gone away. In February world food prices broke the records set at the height of the 2007-8 food crisis and have hovered near that level ever since. By June speculators owned futures contracts for maize worth $15.7 billion, up 127.5% from a year before, while maize prices rose 102% in that period. With famine gripping the Horn of Africa, the release next month of the UN’s world hunger count looks set to be grim news.

A losing battle?

Against this bleak backdrop, the voices of WDM activists are making themselves heard. Thousands have sent action cards or letters to MPs to make them aware of the issue and demand action from the government, while others have organised face-to-face meetings. Ian Murray MP told us that food speculation was among the top three issues constituents were raising – testament to the work of the WDM Edinburgh group!

We took...

Dan Iles, WDM's south-west mobiliser, interviews Christina Schiavoni of the US Food Sovereignty Alliance.

On day four of the European forum on food sovereignty, I met Christina from the US. I was very interested to find out about what sort of actions are happening over in the US as well the aftermath of the Wall Street Reform Act passed recently to limit financial speculation on food. In this interview she talks about the urban and rural movements for food sovereignty across the US, including dairy producers, supermarket workers and anti-food speculation protests.

US food sovereignty delegate

What does food sovereignty mean to you?

To me it means the right of people to define their own agricultural policies, rather than those policies being defined by the World Trade Organisation, the World Bank and the IMF, or multinational corporations.

Can you give me some examples of local initiatives that are involved with enacting food sovereignty in the US?

These are local manifestations of food sovereignty, because I really think that...

Horn of Africa food crisis

I’m sure you have all been reading in the newspapers and seeing the images on the television of desperate people flooding into the huge Dadaab refugee camp in Kenya to receive food and medical treatment for malnutrition.  Aid agencies this week are saying some 10 million people could be soon affected by malnutrition as the worst drought for 60 years hits Ethiopia, Somalia and Northern Kenya.
 

Drought and Famine

The pioneering economist Amartya Sen showed in 1981 that the relationship between drought and famine is not as simple as crops failing and people not being able to eat as a result. Looking at previous famines in the Horn of Africa, Sen found that the overall volume of food being produced within the region had barely been diminished, and it is of course widely known that the world as a whole produces more food than it needs.

Therefore Sen’s key argument was that the cause of famine and hunger is actually people’s ability to purchase food in today’s society, where market transactions have spread to every corner of the world. Drought, he argues, means cattle and crops will perish, with the result being that farmers...

Dan Iles

On the 3rd day of Nyeleni, we all took part in a meticulously coordinated action in the town of Krems, the host city of the forum. In this picture based blog post, I will explain how their use of colour, music, openness and most importantly local food to put across the idea of food sovereignty to Austrian public. This MUST come to the UK!

 

The March:

Setting off from the forum, we all congregated by the courtyard and then headed for the town centre. What with there being such a diverse crowd of young and old, men and women, and languages from across europe there was a lot of energy. The samba band was leading the way, which is always a great way of attracting attention from the public as well as providing a musical rhythm for the protest itself.

As we paraded around all the town's supermarkets, a dedicated team of leafleters were on the case, handing out information on the upcoming event (which I will explain about later) to every unwitting passer by. Each time we passed a supermarket we stopped, held a mini rally, handed out more flyers to the customers, and then moved on again:

...

Dan Iles

Day 2 of the forum and I have had the opportunity to interview an Italian delegate, Andreas Ferrante, the chair of the Italian association for organic farming. In this lively interview (I wish his Italian accent, enthusiasm and smile could come through the words) he talks about how Italy was affected by the 2008 food crisis and the positive advances that Italy has made in its journey towards food sovereignty.

What does food sovereignty mean to you? 

For me, the first word I have in mind is the word ‘rights’. We have to go back to have our rights; choosing our food, choosing our landscape and choosing our policy. And this is what has to change, it is a cultural change. And in this forum; what is clear is that we need to change the cultural framework. And the cultural framework means that we have to go back to the rights before we go on exploring other issues. And this means giving people back the right to make the decisions and the right to be in the room when politicians are making the decision. So this is what food sovereignty means to me. 

 

...

Dan Iles, WDM delegate to Nyeleni Europe, explains the structure that makes the forum so exciting.

I want to try and explain a bit about the structure of the Nyeleni 2011 forum as I think it is worth emulating in future organisational structures. The way the forum is organised has been based on the way the 2007 Nyeleni forum in Mali was constructed and many of the ideas come from the global South. It has a particular emphasis on non-heirarchical and participatory structure and is dedicated to hearing the voices of a range of sub groups in society, for example young people, women, young parents, workers, producers, consumers, activists, etc. 

They have tried to give all possible groups, types of people, interests and sections of the food movement a say in the decision making process.  In this way, everyone is given a range of environments with which to express their voice and are therefore not held back by the social limiting factors that can occur in these sort of events. I hope this is of genuine interest to some people who want to organise democratic and participatory events that do not exclude people through societal imbalances such as gender,...

Dan Iles, food activist and WDM’s south-west mobiliser interviews Indian activist S. Kannaiyan at the Nyeleni forum to build a food sovereignty movement in Europe.

At Nyeleni 2011 there is such a diversity of delegates from across Europe and indeed the world. In the first of a series of interviews, I am trying to give the international perspective on food sovereignty.

I spoke to one of a few non-European delegates that were able to make it over to the conference, S. Kannaiyan from Tamil Nadu, south India. There are also delegates from Mali, Canada, Nigeria, the US, Mozambique and Azerbaijan. I wanted to give you an idea of why this delegate is so passionate about food sovereignty, what the challenges are in his country and what is being done locally to combat these challenges.

Portrait of S. Kannaiyan, Indian activistWhat does food sovereignty mean to you?

Food sovereignty means to me the self respect which comes from self reliance in food production and distribution. Local food production and distribution rather than food produced in...

Bristol activist; Dan Iles, gives you a tour of Bristol’s food movement on route to Austria to take part in food sovereignty forum  Nyeleni 2011

I've been given the opportunity to represent both World Development Movement (WDM) and Bristol’s community food projects at the European Food Sovereignty Forum, Nyeleni, in Austria. This forum will be a meeting point for around 400 delegates from producers, consumer organisations (food cooperatives, etc), NGOs and community projects from all countries in Europe. It will be an excellent opportunity for food projects across Europe to share ideas and collaborate their actions so as to forge a fully fledged European food sovereignty movement.

My blog posts over the next week or so will be documenting this forum, the decisions made in the working groups as well as profiling the various radical food projects that have been set up in countries across Europe.

First of all however, I am going to write a bit about my thoughts over food sovereignty and tell you all about projects struggling for its realisation in some parts of Bristol.

 

...

Economists Jayati Ghosh, Robert Pollin and James Heintz review the links between futures markets and food prices.

The paper explores whether greater liquidity contributes to more stable prices, and whether futures markets can affect food prices.

It finds that the recent increase in liquidity, particularly marked since 2007, is correlated with higher and more volatile prices.

The authors also argue that futures markets affect food prices by influencing expectations of price movements, in turn encouraging producers to withhold supply and buyers to purchase as soon as possible in order to avoid future price rises.

They further argue that trading and prices are not based simply on supply and demand. They are also strongly influenced by factors such as investor psychology, herding behaviour, unequal access to market information, and the acitivities of large-scale traders.

The researchers find that:

  • There is no evidence that the recent increase in liquidity has stabilised commodity prices
  • Increased liquidity is in fact associated with price inflation and greater volatility
  • The arguments and evidence reviewed do not support the claim that spot prices are set independently of futures prices

They argue for the...

The G20's version of 'food security' or a global movement for a radically different food system?

Amy Horton, food speculation campaign

Today, the agriculture ministers from the G20 countries will meet in Paris to discuss food security and volatile prices. They may add their voice to the growing call for international action against speculators. But their focus is likely to be on ramping up food production, even as the UN’s top expert reminds us that the problem is more about distribution: a third of food is wasted and nearly half of cereal production goes to feed livestock.

Three quarters of the G20 delegates will be male, and only one of them African – though the continent is home to a quarter of the world’s hungry people, only South Africa is a member of this elite group.

Their rarefied meeting sits in glaring contrast to a gathering of 500 people at a purpose-built camp in the village of Nyeleni, Mali in 2007. Hailing from more than 80 countries, they were mainly food producers representing small-scale farmers, urban movements, indigenous peoples and many others. 

A different vision...

Amy Horton

An Italian connection? The Pope may be a big hitter over there, and the small-scale food producers’ movement La Via Campesina has Italian members. But Starbucks is yet to get a toehold. I’m reliably informed (by Yahoo Answers, c. 2006) that Italians call Starbucks’ coffee “dirty water”.

Is it that they’re all on Twitter? The Pope recently celebrated his 140-character debut, Starbucks offers “freshly brewed tweets”… but La Via Campesina has a fragmented presence, reflecting its grassroots make-up.

So, they’re global empires? Well, La Via Campesina represents 200 million members – perhaps not quite in the same league as the billion-strong Catholic Church or Starbucks, which last week reported a $3 billion turnover.

The answer is…

All of them are calling for action to curb financial speculation on food, which is driving up food prices and pushing more people into hunger and poverty.

Last month the man in the Vatican asked, "How can we ignore the fact that food has become an object of speculation … in a financial market that, lacking in clear rules and moral principles, seems anchored on the sole objective of profit?”

In May, Starbucks’ CEO complained that, "Without any real supply or demand issues we are witness...

The World Development Movement has called for urgent measures to regulate financial speculation on food prices in the wake of the Horn of Africa famine, revealing that the price of food aid has doubled since 2001.

The World Food Programme paid $390 per tonne of food last year, compared with $200 in 2001. On Monday the organisation said it needed an extra $360 million in order to tackle the crisis now affecting more than 12 million people.

Speculation on food prices by investment banks like Goldman Sachs and Barclays Capital has dramatically risen in the last decade, pushing prices to record levels. Around $100 billion has poured into agricultural markets over the past ten years as financial players have looked for new areas to place their money, without a penny of this going to actual improvements in agriculture.

The US has already passed legislation aimed at preventing excessive speculation on food, and similar measures are being debated in the EU. But the UK government is set to block the European proposals. 

Deborah Doane, director of the anti-poverty campaign group the World Development Movement, said...

Eight months ago, the world’s most powerful countries tasked the world’s most powerful institutions with investigating what to do about volatile food prices. The World Bank, IMF and others have just delivered their report to the G20.

The report is clear that there is a general consensus that speculation has amplified food price spikes, with devastating effects. But its recommendations amount to little more than a call for more research. The 925 million people who are undernourished can’t afford to wait.

The report recognises that “Food price increases can have major repercussions on the whole economy”. For example, 43 developing countries cut their taxes on imports in an attempt to lower food costs during the 2007-8 food crisis, meaning less money for essential public services. Short term price spikes can have long term impacts, such as stunting children’s growth or scaring off investors in destabilised economies.

Looking at the role of speculation, the report says:

While analysts argue about whether financial speculation has been a major factor, most agree that increased participation by … financial markets probably acted to amplify short...

"Maybe it's time we went the way of Egypt." This was the conclusion of a Nairobi transport worker, who took part in research into how people are responding to the latest spike in food prices. He is not alone. Researchers from the Institute of Development Studies and Oxfam found "significant anger" among many of the communities in Kenya, Bangladesh, Zambia and Indonesia that they visited in recent months.

Many people are being hit hard by spikes in food prices. One retired government official in Naogaon says that when he goes to the market, "The prices often give me a heart attack."

Admittedly, there are some winners from higher prices - such as export sector workers, though many of their gains are down to long struggles for better wages. But there are many losers, who are going hungry or switching to cheaper, lower quality food. In Bangladesh, people complain of having to eat chicken feet or broken eggs.

People are also having to travel further to find affordable food and work longer to pay for it. Much of the heavier burden is being shouldered by women. Families are breaking up as men migrate to seek work or even form relationships with women food traders.

Workers in informal jobs face many hurdles. In March for example, Dhaka’s rickshaw pullers...

MEPs defy financial lobbyists after campaigners across Europe take action

At the end of last week, we joined forces with other European campaigners to try and get as many people as possible to ask their MEPs to vote to start tackling food speculation. Thank you to everyone who took the action, in the end the vote went well!

MEPs voted against amendments that would have weakened the proposals - even in the face of fierce lobbying by the financial sector. And amendments to strengthen this regulation were passed. So overall it’s a first step in the right direction.

This legislation has the potential to improve transparency for ‘over the counter’ derivatives, which up until now have taken place in secret and without regulation or oversight.

It will now go to the council of ministers (made up of the finance ministers of each of the member states) before going back to the parliament for a final vote later this year.

So even though this is step in the right direction, there is still much to fight for. This autumn, we are expecting the publication of the ‘Markets in Financial Instruments Directive’ (MIFID) which will outline the European commission’s proposals...

For the last year, WDM has been leading the UK campaign to get new rules introduced to tackle food speculation. We've been focusing our efforts on exposing the role of banks, like Barclays, in driving up food prices and we've been mobilising public pressure to get the UK government to support effective regulation on food speculation. 

The European Commission is set to publish a set of financial reform proposals in the autumn which will include measures to address excessive financial speculation which is causing food prices to rocket to record levels

European partners

As a UK based organisation, we are focusing targeting our own government, whose policies we know is a major obstacle to getting effective legislation approved. However, the fight for regulation is not one that we can win alone. And so we have been also investing our energies into building a European-wide coalition of campaigners to ensure that decision makers in the EU...

As part of the Take One Action Film Festival experience we developed a simple activity to get people to think about the impact of food speculation on hunger, using ping-pong balls. This was first used during the screening of the film Hunger! in September 2010.

Please feel free to download and use the activity yourself - and of course you are welcome to change it to suit your circumstances!

The instructions, together with a couple of files of useful graphics, can be downloaded as PDF files at the bottom of this page.

For more information on the Global Connect project contact our education officer

 

An action plan supposed to address food insecurity launched today by the G20 agriculture ministers has been criticised by campaigners, who say it fails to fully address the root causes of volatile food prices, including financial speculation, which is driving up prices.

Anti-poverty group the World Development Movement said that opposition from countries including the UK had led to the watering down of proposals that could have seen countries commit to setting limits on speculators’ share of the market.

Deborah Doane, director of the World Development Movement said:

Without tackling excessive speculation, the G20’s efforts to rein in volatile food prices will be wasted. The agriculture ministers have ducked controversy, so it falls to G20 finance ministers to address speculation and the hunger and poverty it causes."

The anti-poverty group has called on the UK government to back EU and international efforts to regulate commodity markets. 

Ms. Doane continued:

The UK government’s stance in defence of excessive speculation is untenable. It must put its weight behind European plans for regulation, putting the needs of hungry people before the profits of banks like Goldman Sachs and Barclays Capital.”...

  • Price of world’s biggest food crop doubles 
  • Latest official figures show 5.8% annual rise in UK food prices 

The World Development Movement has warned that a new ‘summer of speculation’ is fuelling record food prices, as new figures show that financial betting on maize prices has contributed to a doubling in the cost of corn over the past year. 

The anti-poverty group is calling for regulation to curb financial gambling on the price of basic foods, which international experts say is contributing to skyrocketing prices and pushing millions of people into hunger and poverty.

The price of maize – more of which is grown than any other staple food crop­ – has increased by 102% since April 2010. New research from the World Development Movement reveals that hedge funds, investment banks and others own futures contracts for maize worth $15.7 billion, up 127.5% from a year ago. 

Two of the UK’s most popular foods, popcorn and cornflakes, are made from maize. It is Africa’s most important staple food, and a key...

In a report released yesterday, the United Nations called for the regulation of financial speculation on food prices, to prevent “price bubbles”.

Financial gambling by banks, hedge funds and pension funds causes massive hikes in the price of basic foods, making millions of people go hungry. 

The report by the UN’s Conference on Trade and Development says that due to speculation, prices are no longer driven by supply and demand.

Prices can move far from levels justified by the fundamentals for extended periods, leading to an increasing risk of price bubbles.”  

The report calls for more transparency and international oversight of commodity markets.

Our campaign has been ramping up the pressure on policy makers to take action. Last week hundreds of emails were sent to the members of the European Parliament’s economic affairs committee who voted overwhelmingly in favour of tightening up how derivatives are traded. 

But there is still much to do. The main European legislation that will include provisions to comprehensively regulate food speculation will be published in the autumn. In the meantime, we need to get the UK government to back regulation. Please...

This report, written by Brett Scott on behalf of WDM, is an overview of Barclays' involvement in commodity derivatives markets, with particular reference to its involvement in agricultural commodity derivatives (food speculation). 

Derivatives come in three main types: Futures/forwards, options and swaps. In practice, a lot of the dealing on investment bank trading floors will be in ‘over-the-counter’ (OTC) derivatives, which includes forwards, swaps and bespoke options. Futures are slightly different, in that they are traded on regulated exchanges. All these derivative types can be based on different ‘underlying assets’ - e.g. derivatives based on shares, bonds and currencies, economic indicators, and a lot of other things. By far the largest global derivative market is the interest rate derivatives market, followed by currency derivatives, credit derivatives, commodity derivatives, and equity derivatives.

Barclays Capital commodities division is a commodity derivatives business, facilitating derivative markets in energy commodities (e.g. oil, oil distillates, natural gas, coal), industrial metals, precious metals, carbon emissions, and agricultural commodities. There are roughly 350 employees....

Earlier this week, the European Parliament’s economic affairs committee voted overwhelmingly – 36 against 1 – in favour of a draft law to regulate shadowy derivatives trading. Derivatives are complex financial contracts that can be bought and sold and are the way that banks can speculate on food prices. One of the demands of our food speculation campaign is that food derivatives are traded on ‘open exchanges’ where they can be regulated properly and all trading is transparent, in the same way shares are traded on the stock market. 

Just before the vote, our European partners over at Make Finance Work produced an e-action asking MEPs on the economic affair committee to vote in favour of the proposals. In just a couple of days over 2,000 people, including hundreds of WDM supporters, wrote to their MEPs and we believe it had an impact on the outcome of the vote. Thank you for taking part.

The proposals would introduce central clearing – bringing trading out from current secret bilateral deals and allowing regulators to see who is trading what. However, although...

Since we launched our campaign against food speculation nearly a year ago – then virtually an unknown issue – momentum has been steadily building towards regulation. We’ve had wide-ranging support, including from the British mainstream media, leading academics, former hedge fund managers, the UN special rapporteur on the right of food and the head of the Food and Agriculture Organisation. In January over 3,000 people made submissions to a European Commission consultation on the issue. Food speculation and the impact...

  • Campaigners take food speculation protest to Barclays’ AGM
  • New research shows true extent of Barclays food speculation activities
  • Barclays accused of ‘profiting from hunger’

Following a month of protests at over 22 local Barclays’ branches around the country [1], campaigners from the World Development Movement [2] protested at the Barclays AGM this morning over the banks leading role in food speculation. The campaigners - dressed as Barclays eagles, bankers and selling food at hugely inflated prices - say speculation is fuelling the price of staple foods, and having a disastrous effect on the lives of millions of the poorest people across the world.

The protests come following research published by the World Development Movement yesterday that investigated the extent of Barclays’ involvement in food speculation, and found Barclays to be the UK’s leading bank in food speculation [3].

The report concludes that Barclays could be making as much as £340 million in profit annually from food speculative activities, leading to accusations from campaigners that Barclays is ‘profiting from hunger’. In addition, Barclays have been found to be a key facilitator in helping other financial players – such as pension funds – speculate on food...

Steve Rolfe, Glasgow WDM group member

It's not often you get the chance to dress up as a blue eagle or a profit-crazed banker (or a bit of both!) in the middle of Glasgow. But it's fun when you do.

On a surprisingly warm spring day, a bunch of us from the Glasgow WDM group set up a market stall outside Barclays on the busy pedestrian precinct on Argyle Street. Now I know Glaswegians are hardly renowned for their spendthrift ways, but even so we weren't surprised that no-one seemed to want to buy a bag of pasta for £140. Our bankers tried their best to sell the over-priced goods - and you'd have thought bankers could sell anything after recent years, but obviously the public are a bit wary of anyone in a sharp suit these days. Even our barrow-boy market trader couldn't shift the £120 loaf of bread. People did want to know what we were up to, though - after all it's not often that they see anyone dressed up as a blue eagle or a profit-crazed banker!

And shoppers didn't like what they heard. We're all having to pay a bit more for our food these days, so no-one was too impressed when they found out that part of the reason for high food prices is the reckless speculation of bankers, gambling on global food prices. And people we talked to were even more...

Catherine Negus, used to be Campaigns Assistant

The WDM campaign against speculation on food prices has had some brilliant radio coverage in 2011. Our campaigns officer Heidi Chow called in to You and Yours back in January, and with the help of the BBC we’ve been able to make two other programmes available for downloading from the WDM website.

On 13 January BBC Radio 4’s Face the Facts by John Waite, with input from WDM, provided a clear overview of the issue. The programme includes helpful explanations of spot and futures markets, how they are supposed to work, and what they are doing in reality. There are quotes from Jane Anyango, chairperson of Kibera Women for Peace and Fairness in Nairobi, who talked with WDM staff when they visited Kenya last July.

Other authoritative voices are those of Jayati Ghosh, professor of economics at Jawaharlal Nehru University in Delhi, and Michael Masters, a US hedge...

Catherine Negus, used to be Campaigns Assistant

Last month thousands of people helped us to counter bankers’ attempts to weaken European proposals for regulation of food speculation by responding to the consultation on derivatives reform. Now we need your help again.

In the US, legislation which included rules to tackle excessive speculation on food - the Dodd Frank Financial Reform Act - was passed last year. Now Wall Street is fighting hard to make implementation of the Act difficult and to enable bankers to continue making huge profits from gambling on hunger.

In the US the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is deciding how to implement the legislation and lobbyists from Wall Street have held numerous meetings with the regulator, pressuring it to water down the rules.

As global food prices rise to record levels it is essential that the CFTC hears from people in the US and around the worldthat they must put the basic needs of the world’s most vulnerable people before bankers’ profits.

Action against excessive speculation must be taken on a global scale. If regulators in the US don’t introduce...

On the front page of the Sunday Times this morning you will see the headline ‘Euro MPs exposed in ‘cash-for-laws’ scandal’ (£). Journalists from the respected Insight investigative team have posed as financial lobbyists and have approached MEPs offering them large sums of money in return for watering down banking reform legislation.

Three MEPs took the bait and were employed by the fake lobbying company on a yearly salary of €100,000. One of those was 56 year old former Romanian deputy prime minister, Adrian Severin, who apparently emailed the journalists posing as lobbyists writing “Just to let you know that the amendment desired by you has been tabled in due time”. He then sent an invoice for €12,000.

The other two MEPs caught up in the scandal were Slovenian foreign minister Zoran Thaler, and former Austrian interior minister Ernst Strasser. It is said that Ernst additionally boasted about serving at least five commercial clients who each paid him €100,000 per year.

These are pretty shocking revelations. But the most telling quote in the Sunday Times expose comes from Adrian Severin, “I didn’t do anything that was, let’s say, illegal or against any normal...

Press release, 07.03.2011

People making pancakes on Shrove Tuesday will face higher prices of key ingredients, such as flour, milk and sugar, as prices have sky rocketed to a new record high on the global markets.The UN Food and Agriculture Organisation last week announced that prices had risen to a new record high.  According to the UN FAO's food price index, prices have risen for the 8th consecutive month to the highest since the index was started in 1990. The index consists of a basket of key commodities such as wheat, milk, meat and sugar. The index is widely watched by economists and politicians around the world as the first indicator of whether prices will end up higher on shop shelves in their own countries.

In response to these price rises, anti-poverty campaigners, the World Development Movement argue that banks and hedge funds are helping to drive up the price of food to record levels through reckless speculation on basic foods such as wheat and sugar. Wheat prices have increased by 60 per cent in the last year and the campaigners say that this is being fuelled by speculation because, despite drought and fires affecting harvests,...

Catherine Negus, used to be Campaigns Assistant

Today marks the launch of Fairtrade Fortnight 2011, a celebration of the most widely-recognised ethical label. Fairtrade sales broke the £1 billion mark last year, showing that even during a recession, many consumers still consider the impact of their buying decisions.

However, there’s a very long way to go before all trade is fair, and it’s unlikely that schemes like Fairtrade can bring this about by themselves. Part of their strength is that by using market solutions and focusing on changing public attitudes, they do not alienate anyone. But this approach is also a weakness. The need for Fairtrade schemes is a clear sign that the current global economic system only makes the rich richer.

Commercial giants

The monopolies of huge companies like Cargill, ConAgra and Unilever and of the supermarkets keep selling prices low at the expense of producers. This keeps farmers in the global south working for survival, with little chance of building up their own economies. Often small farmers, who can be very efficient at producing food and protecting the environment, cannot survive.

Fairtrade supports the income of its producers in the global south, and, says Deborah Doane, WDM’...

Eddy Richards, Global Connect Project Officer

In an online debate in July last year a respected economist, Mr Homi Kharas, rebuts claims that because most small farmers in the developing world are net buyers of food they will lose from higher prices. "That is a static argument. It does not incorporate the supply response that would surely follow."

Now I don't propose to look at this particular issue, interesting and important as it is. What I am concerned about is the underlying attitude economists often seem to display in this type of debate. They look at the (theoretical ) economic response - in this case that growing more food is incentivised - as if that is the be all and end all, without apparently considering what happens in between times. Maybe an analogy would help.

When you get into a bath the water level will rise, depending on your mass and volume. However, if you lower yourself in gradually the change is slow and smooth; whereas if you leap in, the water splashes around, your rubber ducks are...

Over 100 European and international organisations are calling on the G20 Finance Ministers, who are meeting this weekend, to rein in speculation on food prices by banks, hedge funds and pension funds.

The Finance Ministers will be discussing responses to the record food prices which are at ‘dangerous’ levels according to the World Bank with 44 million more people pushed into poverty since last June. French President Nicolas Sarkozy, currently the head of the G20, is pushing for tighter regulation of commodity markets in order to reduce food price spikes and volatility.

But there are concerns that some governments, including the UK, could try to block reforms in the EU and G20 due to fierce opposition from the banking industry. Strong statements have been made by key EU decision makers, including Commissioner Michel Barnier and the French Government, on curbing speculation, but it remains to be seen whether European financial reforms will deliver.

In a statement signed by the Fairtrade Foundation, Friends of the Earth Europe, New Economics Foundation, Corporate Europe Observatory and over a hundred more groups from around the world, political leaders are warned...

Kitty Webster, used to be Campaigns and policy intern

As the World Bank issued a report this week warning of the impacts of rocketing food prices, protests continued to sweep across the Middle East and North Africa. The latest edition of Food Price Watch outlines how food prices have risen by almost 30 per cent in the past year and were within striking distance of the record levels reached during 2008.

“Global food prices are rising to dangerous levels and threaten tens of millions of poor people around the world” said Robert Zoellick, the World Bank's president. Speaking about the current wave of protests in the Arab world triggered by the overthrow of the Presidents in Tunisia and Egypt, Zoellick said rising food prices are "an aggravating factor that could become more serious.”

According to the report, the World Bank's food price index was up by 15 per cent between October 2010 and January 2011, having risen almost 30 per cent in the past year and only just below the record levels reached during 2008. Wheat prices have risen the most, doubling between June 2010 and January 2011.

Many factors affect food...

Over 100 European and international organisations are calling for financial speculation on food prices by hedge funds and investment banks to be reined in.

Statement signed by over 100 European and international organisations calling for speculation on food prices by banks and hedge funds to be reined in.

The World Development Movement's response to the High Level Panel of Experts for Food Security and Nutrition consultation on food price volatility.

Murray Worthy, used to be Policy officer

Paul Krugman is an economist I have huge respect for, and one with whom I often agree. This made it all the more disappointing when I read his recent post for the New York Times dismissing the role of speculation in current high food prices. Sadly Krugman’s arguments, apparently lifted from an economics primer, fall far wide of the mark when it comes to the reality of food markets.

The core of his argument is his simple price graph, indicating that the current price of any physical commodity will be based on the exact balance of supply and demand. Krugman dismisses the role that speculation can play in affecting commodity prices unless banks or other financial speculators take delivery of food:

“plays in the financial markets can only move the price to the extent that they affect physical flows and stocks”

While this model is nice in theory, even the textbooks admit that price formation based on a perfect balance of supply and demand can only happen when:
a) there is perfect information about supply and demand.
b) participants are well (if not perfectly) informed about supply and demand...

Press release, 04.02.2011

At a joint press conference, Director-General Jacques Diouf of the UN Food and Agriculture Organisation and the French Agriculture Minister, Bruno Le Maire called financial speculation on food both economically dangerous and morally unacceptable. They called for an international response at the G20 to the record food prices and volatility including regulation of financial speculation on commodity markets. The World Development Movement welcomes this and supports action to tackle dramatic food price rises and volatility by reducing speculation on food by banks, hedge funds and pension funds.

Julian Oram, head of policy at the World Development Movement said:

“We welcome the FAO and French government’s clear and urgent call for action to curb financial speculation on food. Banks and hedge funds are playing a key role in causing the current record food prices. When speculative flows of hot money pour into commodity markets, it dramatically pushes up the price of basic foods. There are of course long-term upward pressures on food prices, for example due to the impacts of climate change and the use of land for biofuels. But this doesn’t explain the sudden and very dramatic prices rises that we are seeing now and in 2008 during the food...

WDM's response to the public consultation on the review of the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MIFID). This consultation was launched by the European Commission Directorate General Internal Market and Services and closed on 2nd February.

WDM's consultation response provides detailed analysis and presents an evidence base for regulating excessive speculation on food derivatives.

This response was endorsed and supplemented by Dr Jayati Ghosh, Professor of Economics at Jawaharlal Nehru University, India and Dr Robert Pollin, Professor of Economics and Co-Director of the Political Economy Research Institute, University of Massachusetts-Amherst, USA.

 

The World Development Movement criticised the findings of the Beddington report which promotes the introduction of genetically modified (GM) crops as a key solution to global hunger.

The focus on GM in the Chief Scientist's report is a red herring and does not correctly identify the real causes of hunger.

The World Development Movement's director, Deborah Doane said: "The Beddington report does not accurately reflect the real cause of hunger in developing countries. The current record food prices are down to banks and hedge funds betting on food. The hot speculative inflows of money into commodity markets are dramatically pushing up the price of foods like bread, sugar and corn.

 "GM is not a magic bullet to cure global hunger. If the UK government really wants to reduce hunger in the developing world, they should break free of the grip of the GM and banking lobbyists, and crack down on predatory speculation by banks and hedge funds which will ensure stable and lower food prices. Furthermore, the UK government should be focused on supporting strengthening local markets and investing properly in small scale farmers in developing countries.

 "There is a long-term, gradual upward pressure on food prices, for example due to the impacts of climate...

As an anti-cuts campaigner in the UK fighting rises in tuition fees or corporate tax dodging or the closure of a local library or redundancies at a city council or (hopefully) all of the above, it wouldn’t be surprising if you have been so busy over the last few weeks that events in Tunisia have passed you by. And now that media coverage of the protests is more prominent, it still may fail to immediately resonate as your fight too.

The historical and political context of the series of protests over food prices and unemployment in Algeria, Sudan, Jordan, and the overthrow of the Tunisian president on Friday, is vastly different to the UK. But the fight to resist the dominance of neoliberalism and its iniquitous effects is a thread that ties together protests over library closures in Liverpool and rising food prices and unemployment in Jordan.

In Tunisia, protests were triggered by unrest in Algeria, food prices, unemployment and Mohammad Bouazizi, a 26 year old unemployed graduate, who set himself on fire in December after the police stopped him from making a living by selling vegetables because he didn’t have a permit.

The military responded by beating, torturing...

Current soaring food prices are being worsened by record levels of financial speculation, according to a leading UK anti-poverty group. Latest figures from the World Development Movement reveal that hedge funds, investment bankers and pension funds have poured over $200bn into food markets since the financial crisis, betting on the rising price of food.

This huge wall of speculative money has now reached record levels according to the US commodities regulator [1]. This has caused the market to over-react to shortages in supply or rising demand, pushing food prices ever higher.

This week the UN’s food price reached a record high and food riots broke out in Algeria as the impacts begin to be felt around the world [2]. Food prices have now risen above those seen during the global food crisis of 2008 [3] when riots broke around the developing world and over 1 billion went short of food.

Many speculators are simply trying to avoid inflation by throwing money into food markets, betting on long term rising food prices and not reflecting the current state of global food markets. Much of this money has come from efforts to deal with the financial crash like the banking bail out and so-called ‘quantitative easing’ in Europe and the US.

The World...

This year, the British public will be paying more for their Christmas turkey because of City speculators. Betting on commodity prices by hedge funds and investment banks has led to rapidly rising prices of animal feed [1], driving up the retail price of turkeys.

Paul Kelly, an award winning turkey farmer and breeder, warned that turkey prices this Christmas are going to be more expensive than last year and we will be paying up to £3 extra for our festive bird. He said:

“It’s all down to feed prices which have been rising at a rapid pace this year. And it’s entirely fuelled by speculators in the commodity food markets. It’s got nothing to do with wheat stocks. It’s city money men who are driving these prices.”

In spite of the wildfires destroying Russian wheat during the summer, the US and Europe and other grain producing regions have had good harvests this year and the UN even issued a statement saying that global wheat stocks are sufficient.[2]

Since the financial crisis began, market analysts have noted a wave of speculative money pouring into commodity derivative markets, including food. Many experts link this activity by banks and hedge funds to recent volatility and sudden inflation in the retail costs of food and energy.[3]

Paul Kelly adds...

Heidi Chow, Food campaigner

Last Friday, WDM’s human blackjack game won Third Sector’s digital campaign of the week. Third Sector is the UK’s leading publication for the voluntary and not-for-profit sector and has over 80,000 readers.

Third sector praised WDM’s web based campaign:

"The subject area of the campaign is a difficult one to convey…However, WDM has taken a fun and interactive approach to drive home its message, meaning it is less complex and more engaging…"

The online game has had over 5000 views and takes people on a journey into the shadowy world of food speculation. Players select a character to play and as they play the card game, blackjack (also known as 21 or pontoon), they discover the gambling that takes place every day in the financial markets where bankers’ betting on food prices is driving up the price of basic food across the world.

The game is still online, play it here and get yourself onto the leaderboard. Remember all that is required is compassion – not cash.
 

Martin Bowman, campaigns and policy intern

2010 is surely the year of the octopus, if controversially. The death threats that were sent to Paul the psychic octopus have shown the capacity of our bulbous eight-legged friends to galvanize public opinion. If harmless football score predictions fuelled such anger, let us hope that Paul was just a warm-up act for this next aquatic provocateur. Enter: the Giant Vampire Squid.

Being compared to a Giant Vampire Squid is not particularly desirable, but it’s probably another insult to add to the pile for investment banks like Goldman Sachs. The name was first given to them by the journalist Matt Taibbi in Rolling Stone, saying that investment banks are like: “a giant vampire squid wrapped round the face of humanity”. The new economics foundation (nef), backed by a variety of groups including Compass and the Post Bank campaign, have picked up this neat little metaphor, and made it the basis of their fantastic new video, which I urge you to watch and shout / facebook / tweet to the hills:

...

Thanks to everyone who played human blackjack last week! Hundreds of people took part in our online game to learn more about food speculation and join the fight to stop bankers from betting on food. Also congratulations to Mary from Glasgow who won our prize draw of people who took part - a box of Lush ethical bath goodies is on its way to you!

Though the game was fun (I tried hard to get in the top 10 of the leader board but couldn't beat the top scorers!), the story of human blackjack is a real one. Everyday bankers are betting on food prices in financial markets, making basic foods unaffordable to millions in developing countries. The battle to stop the bankers is going on right now - on both sides of the Atlantic. President Obama signed the Dodd-Frank Reform Act earlier in the year which gave the US regulators the powers to clamp down on food speculation. The US regulators now have the job of working out the details but bankers have been lobbying hard for exemptions from the rules.

US campaigners...



Regulate food speculation - take action 

Stop the sell off - find out more

Bankers Anonymous