Food speculation | World Development Movement

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Food speculation

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Gary Dunion, used to be food campaigns officer

The financial crisis has exposed the power of unregulated financial markets to wreck the real economy most of us depend on. And the bailouts and bonuses have shown that when bankers get it wrong, they aren’t the ones that suffer the consequences.


The credit crunch was infamously caused by gambling on derivatives, complex and shadowy financial instruments that in this case were based on ‘sub-prime’ mortgage debt. When gambling on mortgages is out of control, people lose their homes – so what happens when the gambling is on food?

Welcome to Human Blackjack.

Bankers betting on food caused the crisis of 2008 that took the number of hungry in the world above 1 billion people. And they did it again this year when the price of wheat shot up 40% in a single month.

It’s dangerous, it’s immoral and it’s easily preventable. They can only get away with it as long as people are too confused by financial jargon to understand what they’re doing. To stop them, we only need to let everyone see exactly what goes on behind the doors of the casino.

Any time from midday to midnight on Friday the 26th of November, we invite you to...

Bexhill and Hastings WDM play a game of 'Human Blackjack' with George Osborne showing how the government's allowing bankers to keep betting on food.

Bexhill group members sit at a casino table playing blackjack with someone dressed as George Osborne. Piles of sacks of food with a plackard saying "Stop bankers betting on food" sit in the background

Brighton & Hove WDM explaining the complexities of food speculation to passers-by in Brighton, using a giant snakes and ladders' board

Brighton & Hove WDM

Brighton & Hove WDM

Sheffield WDM created an ingenious 'plate-spinning' game at a recent event to involve people in our food campaign

WDM Sheffield

WDM Sheffield plate spinning

 

...to win the worst lobby award.

In July 2010, in just one month, the price of wheat increased by 60 per cent. For us in the UK this could mean higher prices for our biscuits and bread but for those in developing countries, price hikes in basic foods like wheat are disastrous and leads to hunger and malnutrition.

By the end of August, demonstrations against rising food and fuel prices were held in Maputo, capital of Mozambique. “I can hardly feed myself. I will join in the protest because I’m outraged by this high cost of living.” said Nelfa Temoteo, a local resident.

And it’s not the first time. In 2008 the world experienced a global food crisis with rapidly increasing prices for basic food products. For example from early 2007 to mid-2008, the price of wheat shot up by 80% and maize by 90% and then after June 2008, the price fell back down.

So what can explain these huge price hikes? And what has all this got to do with Goldman Sachs? They’re a bank after all - they don’t grow, sell or process food, do they?

Unfortunately, Goldman Sachs has everything to do with these price hikes and this is why I am voting for them. The food price hikes of 2008 and 2010 were caused by speculative money flooding into food commodities markets as more and more...

Thank you for joining our campaign to stop bankers from speculating on food prices. Their activities have made food unaffordable for poor people around the world, spreading hunger and malnutrition.

We will keep you updated with the latest actions and news on the campaign over the coming months.

We will also invite you to take part in the world’s first online game of human blackjack on 26th November 2010. You can join in anytime from 12 midday to 12 midnight. Compassion, not cash, is all that’s required.
 

Jayati Ghosh is Professor of Economics at Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi, and Chair of the Centre for Economic Studies and Planning. In this analyisis for WDM, she shows how financial speculation on food drive the 2007-2008 food price crisis.

Download Commodity Speculation and the Food Crisis here.

 

When Jayati Ghosh was in the UK a couple of weeks ago we took the opportunity to interview her about the 2007-2008 food crisis, food security and the financial crisis. This is what she had to say.

The European Commission and the French and US governments have all said they want to bring food speculation into the open and regulate it to stabilise prices. We need to you to help pressure the UK government to ensure that it backs proposals for regulation and not to take sides with the banks to block reform.

Email George Osborne at the Treasury, asking him to support strong and effective regulation to stop banks from betting on hunger. The Treasury is the government department which decides whether the UK will support international regulation to rein in excessive speculation on food prices

 

 

  • New figures produced on eve of World Food Day reveal new wave of financial speculation on wheat and corn
  • Speculation drives surge in wheat and corn prices to two-year highs

New evidence that speculation on food by hedge funds, pension funds and investment banks is fuelling the rise of bread and other basic foods has been released by anti-poverty campaigners on World Food Day, October 16, 2010.

The World Development Movement has calculated that over the summer, financial speculators in Chicago alone bought up corn futures contracts equivalent to nearly 1.7 billion bushels [1] – more than the annual consumption of Brazil, a country of some 260million people and the world’s third largest consumer of corn.

The figure for wheat over the same period was 241 million bushels [1], equivalent to seven times the amount consumed by Kenya, or half the UK’s total annual wheat harvest.

Between April and September 2010, world prices for wheat rose by over 40 per cent, while corn has risen by over 30 per cent. The campaigners say that these prices rises, which are the highest since the food crisis that gripped the world in 2008, are contributing to higher inflation in the UK for basics foodstuffs such as bread and pasta in the UK, as well causing...

Caroline Griffin, Fundraising and communications officer

In July, I went to Kenya to find out how speculation on basic food commodities has affected people’s lives. I've put together a photo gallery which tells the story of gambling on food from the people's perspective.

Many of the photographs are of people I met who had gone without food for days or been forced to sell their few possessions to feed their families. The price of maize, the Kenyan staple food doubled or tripled in a matter of days, causing unnecessary hardship for the fifty per cent of the Kenyan population who already live below the poverty line.

Additional problems such as drought, unemployment and underlying health problems meant that many families reached crisis point when food prices shot up. Some of the people I spoke to are still picking up the pieces after the events of 2008.

But thanks to the World Development Movement, economists, journalists and development experts are now pointing to food speculation as the most significant cause of food crises, including the current food...

We are lobbying the UK government to demand tighter regulation of commodity speculation, which our report The Great Hunger Lottery reveals creates market volatility and sharp rises in the price of basic food commodities.

Maize, the staple food in Kenya, is gambled on in global commodity markets. In 2008, maize was subject to a 100% cost increase, which meant that many of the poorest people in Kenya went hungry, lost their livelihoods and suffered health problems.

In July 2010 some of our staff went to Kenya to speak to people about the effects of the food price rises. Here are some of their stories.

Secretive corporate lobbying efforts are being dragged into the open today at the launch of the Worst EU Lobbying Awards 2010 in Brussels. Some of WDM's old and new foes have been nominated for their part in lobbying in Europe to stop progressive change.

In the climate category, supported by: Climate Action Network Europe, Oxfam, World Development Movement. The nominees are:

- BusinessEurope: Nominated for its aggressive lobbying to block effective climate action in the EU while claiming to support action to protect the climate.
- ArcelorMittal: Steel industry fat cat, nominated for lobbying on CO2 cuts under the Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) and profiting from free ETS emission permits.
- RWE: Nominated for claiming to be green while lobbying to keep its dirty coal-and oil-fired power plants open.

In the finance category, supported by: ATTAC Network, World Development Movement.
- Royal Bank of Scotland: Nominated for secretly lobbying in Brussels and for exploiting insider contacts by headhunting former EU Commissioner Günter Verheugen as an advisor
- Goldman Sachs and derivatives lobby group ISDA: Nominated for aggressive lobbying to defend their ‘financial weapons of mass destruction’
- Hedge fund and private equity lobby groups AIMA...

Today, there are many stories about food price rises - hitting poorer people in Mexico and countries in Africa, but delivering fat profits for the likes of contraversial agribusiness, Cargill, which is the world's largest agricultural commodity trader.

In the Daily Mail, climate change is blamed, stemming from academics studing extreme weather events and the impact on food production - they recommended more investment in agriculture and weather resistant crops.

Over at the BBC, they are asking you why you think Africa is still hungry which will culminate in a phone in on World Service this afternoon, should make interesting listening.

And the FT, they highlight that Cargill has made bumper profits because corn prices are at a two year high, that tortilla riots in Mexico in 2006 were a sign of things to come, and that there is a stampede to buy corn because of a reported drop in supply.

With the exception of the...

Kate Blagojevic, used to be press officer

I am sure there are few things that Richard Branson and WDM agree upon; one is the preceding sentence and the second is that excessive speculation by banks and hedge funds exacerbated the food crisis in 2008.

That's all i can think of so in short WDM and Virgin have little in common: WDM has campaigned for the aviation industry's emissions and subsidies to be cut, and on a personal note, Richard Branson throwing Kate Moss over his shoulder and the sexism rife in Virgin ads all make me cross, so it was somewhat surprising to hear conversations about 'a great letter in the Economist from Branson' in the office. But it was true, and regarding this letter in which Branson took The Economist to task over its some of its analysis on the effects of excessive speculation on the price of food and oil.

The OECD report to which Branson refers claims that there is no link between speculation and food prices is widely touted by the banks, and others who oppose reform and regulation which seems to include the Tory party. From Virgin to the World Bank to UNCTAD to the FAO to the UN expert on Food to the US government and to the French government and...

The World Development Movement believes that a key reason that food prices rises have been increasing dramatically is due to excessive speculation in commodity markets by investment banks and hedge funds and that the UN FAO should be coming out more strongly against excessive speculation.

Dr Julian Oram, who is attending the UN FAO emergency summit in Rome commented:

"There is a clear narrative emerging from the meeting of, ''crisis? what crisis?' Looking at the numbers we're not facing an imminent food shortage, such as we saw in 2007-08. What's interesting is that the current jump in grain prices seems to be driven by markets, not supply and demand. There's a strong view that we're  witnessing a speculation-induced food price spike.

"We've heard some concrete ideas at today's sessions to reign in excessive speculation on commodity markets, and it's encouraging to hear more and more governments falling in line behind these proposals."

“Food experts are telling us that global grain stocks are fine and there’s no imminent shortage. The recent price movements we’ve seen can only be explained by opportunistic speculators snapping up food derivatives contracts, in order to make a quick buck. This kind of activity benefits no one, and it’s up to the...

With only five years left to meet the MDGs, WDM has analysed where progress has been made. It is striking that people in Sub-Saharan Africa are being neglected. WDM believes that this worrying trend is at least partly due to a post 9/11 preoccupation with national security interests at the expense of poverty alleviation strategies. This is likely to be entrenched by the UK still deeper if you read between the lines of recent comments by Nick Clegg and Andrew Mitchell that the UK will increase aid for fragile and conflict ridden countries. 

Goal 1: Eradicate extreme hunger and poverty

The flagship target of the MDG programme is that the number of people living on less than $1.25 per day is halved. We appear on course globally, but Africa is being left behind. Sub-Saharan Africa is now the only region where more than half of the population still live in extreme poverty.

Conversely, no progress was made in reducing hunger between 2000 and 2007. Since then we’ve seen the 2008 food price spike, during which, for example, the price of maize meal in Nairobi more than doubled. The result is that hunger topped 1 billion in 2009 and although some of the latest figures show that there has been minimal progress, current high food prices are likely to set...

-- 'Reckless' commodity speculation amplifies wheat price spike
-- Anti-poverty campaigners welcome proposals for new European financial watchdog


The World Development Movement (WDM) has said proposals to establish three new European banking regulators could help prevent food crises, as wheat price rises fuelled by financial speculation trigger bread riots in Mozambique.

WDM has been pushing for urgent action to prevent banks and hedge funds engaging in excessive speculation in food derivatives markets, which drove the 2006-2008 food price crisis [1] and is fuelling the recent wheat price spike. Wheat prices have rocketed nearly 70% since January, causing riots in Mozambique this week in which seven people have died.

Negotiators from the European Commission, European parliament and Council of Ministers yesterday agreed to establish the three watchdogs, which will include a European Securities and Markets Authority covering derivatives as well as other markets.

Deborah Doane, director of the World Development Movement said:

"The feeding frenzy on wheat derivatives is once again causing hunger and unrest in the world’s poorest countries. It is essential that we end the reckless speculation by big banks and...

Wheat prices have hit a two year high. Prices are again climbing steeply for wheat and, despite claims by some analysts in the media, there is plenty of wheat available and talk of global shortages is unfounded.

The last time prices were higher, there was a food crisis and people were going hungry across the developing world, whilst in the US and UK people were paying more for their weekly shop.

Whilst drought, fire and flooding have reduced Russia and Canada's wheat harvest respectively, there is a bumper yield in the United States and global wheat stocks are high. So if the price were based on supply and demand for wheat itself, the price would not be rocketing in the way that it has over the last month. According to Jonathan Barratt, managing director at Commodity Broking Services in Sydney “There are two things driving the market, fear and fund buying.”

Those funds are the same speculators which caused food prices to go so high in 2008, and have sent coffee and cocoa prices all over the place in recent months. Now they are once again pushing up the price of one of the world’s staple foods. It has been reported that speculators bought an unusually high number of wheat contracts in recent weeks.

Some producers of biscuits and bread have said that...

Yesterday afternoon, James, Kiama Kaara from Kenya Debt Relief Network and I drove to Thika, a medium-sized town 40km north east of Nairobi along a bustling road lined with traders, construction workers and shops for a meeting with Zachary Makanya from the PELUM Association.

PELUM, which stands for Participatory Ecological Land Use Management, are a network of civil society organisations and NGOs working with small-scale farmers from East, Central and Southern Africa. Their vision is an inspiring and humbling one and what Zachary told us was very clear. Kenyans are still not seeing an improvement in their quality of life despite decades of aid money being poured into the country by mostly good-intentioned by often ill-informed and patronising donors and NGOs. The effects of aid dependency and the legacy of colonialism mean that the urgent process of ‘decolonising the mind’ must now start in earnest if African nations, Kenya included, are to resist the fierce and bullish march of globalisation and industrialisation, which is already wiping out traditional knowledge, languages, indigenous communities and the natural environment.

...

Ingredients
1 full page article in the Guardian newspaper
1 interview on BBC Radio 4 Today programme
1 interview on BBC Newsnight
10 articles across other newspapers
31 articles online
900 sign ups to a phone action,
65 comments on our website

Take all the ingredients and combine well to create heat and froth.

Ok it’s a food campaign so couldn’t resist the analogy to cooking. Last week we launched our new campaign to regulate food speculation in financial markets with an amazing amount of press and media coverage. The story got picked up as it’s the age-old tale of greed at the expense of millions going hungry. Bankers, like Goldman Sachs, are speculating on food prices which have fuelled price hikes in recent years and driving more people into deeper poverty and hunger.

As well as raising profile for the campaign on television, radio, press and web we...

Kate Blagojevic

Today, we launched a report showing how banks speculate on foods causing their price to rocket, increasing hunger in developing countries. Yesterday the Mail on Sunday revealed that a hedge fund bought over 250,000 tonnes of cocoa beans, a move designed to make millions for the hedge fund but losses for people in the UK who are partial to a Twix or farmers in developing countries who are finding it impossible to plan what to grow when the prices are rising and falling like a yo-yo.

Banks and hedge funds ‘buy’ cocoa and other food all the time but they don’t normally request delivery and stash them in warehouses in Liverpool and London. Usually, they buy and sell without ever seeing a single bean or grain, they only see money. Prices rise and fall as a mirror image of speculative hot money flooding in and hot footing it out.

You may have heard the author of our report, Tim Jones on BBC Radio 4 Today programme this morning. In the Guardian today our report was greeted...

* New report: Gambling by banks like Goldman Sachs increased food prices

* UK must 'back, not block' new banking reform in Europe, say campaigners

* Over 800 people have pledged to call the FSA to demand action to stop banks gambling on food

Today banks have come under fire for risky and secretive gambling on coffee, cocoa and wheat which is playing havoc with prices.

Lovers of chocolate spread on toast with a cup of coffee in the morning face paying more for their breakfast as prices have rocketed on the international markets.

The same banks, secretive hedge funds and dangerous speculation that caused the sub-prime mortgage crisis and global financial meltdown are also causing food prices to rise massively, argues new research from anti-poverty campaigning group, the World Development Movement.

Cocoa prices have reached their highest levels for 33 years, increasing by 150 per cent over 18 months which could force some chocolate makers to raise prices and in some cases use less cocoa.

Although poor harvests acted as the initial trigger for price rises in cocoa, the finger is being pointed at hedge funds and big...

In 'The great hunger lottery', World Development Movement has compiled extensive evidence establishing the role of food commodity derivatives in destabilising and driving up food prices around the world. This in turn has led to food becoming unaffordable for low-income families, particularly in developing countries highly reliant on food imports.

The US Senate is expected to approve a landmark bill on Wall Street reform later today, covering bank bonuses, financial transparency of complex derivatives, regulation of hedge funds and food markets. This legislation will send shockwaves across the global financial sector, but WDM fears that proposals for a similar EU crack down of the banks may not be backed the UK government.

US legislators have been under enormous public pressure to regulate secretive and complex derivative trading, which is blamed for triggering the global economic crisis.

France and other European nations are strongly supportive of similar proposals at the EU level, but we are concerned that the UK government could seek to block such reforms and are launching a new campaign next week to push the government to take the lead in pushing for financial reform in Europe. We point to the City of London’s track record of lobbying against EU efforts to force the so-called ‘shadow banking’ system out into the open, and are launching a campaign to get the government to crack down on excessive speculation by the banks.

Deborah Doane, director of the World Development Movement said:

“While the US is passing legislation in this area, the EU is well behind the curve. Because...

In The Great Hunger Lottery, the World Development Movement has compiled extensive evidence establishing the role of food commodity derivatives in destabilising and driving up food prices around the world. This in turn, has led to food prices becoming unaffordable for low-income families around the world, particularly in developing countries highly reliant on food imports.

Nowhere was this more clearly seen than during the astonishing surge in staple food prices over the course of 2007-2008, when millions went hungry and food riots swept major cities around the world. The great hunger lottery shows how this alarming episode was fueled by the behaviour of financial speculators, and describes the terrible immediate impacts on vulnerable families around the world, as well as the long term damage to the fight against global poverty.

In the report we describe how the current situation came to pass, the risks of another speculation induced food crisis, and what specifically can be done by policymakers here in the UK as well as in the US and EU to tackle the problem.

Download the report

...

Rosie Rogers, used to be campaigns and policy intern

Bright-eyed and ready to save the world in one internship, I was ready to take on any challenge! As part of our new commodities campaign. I was asked to find out how to complain about Goldman Sachs (GMS). A simple task I thought…

FSA: "You have no rights"

First stop, the Financial Services Authority (FSA). I called the general enquiries number and was met with a friendly 'customer services' handler who was happy to answer my questions, but kept asking who I worked for and where I was calling from - my poker voice served me well!. I was told that the FSA don’t deal with formal complaints and that since I’m not a GMS customer, I 'have no rights'.

I was advised to make a formal complaint with GMS, then they had 8 weeks to respond and if the response was not satisfactory, I should take my case to the Financial Ombudsman Service who was ‘better equipped to deal with complaints’. I then stated to my previously friendly FSA buddy – who was now slightly fed up – that it’s ridiculous that only customers have rights, to which he reeled out some standard FSA statement about what the FSA can and can’t do. I was sent a standard leaflet on how to make...

I’m really pleased to see that journalist and art critic Johann Hari, described by the Daily Telegraph as one of the most influential people on the left in Britain, wrote a piece for the Independent last week urging people appalled about bankers speculating on food prices and causing hunger to get involved in WDM’s food speculation campaign. The article was circulated widely on the internet, including being passed on by Stephen Fry, and also appeared in the Huffington Post on Saturday. In it, Hari writes:

Only one force can stop another speculation-starvation-bubble. The decent people in developed countries need to shout louder than the lobbyists from Goldman Sachs. The World Development Movement is launching a week of pressure this summer as crucial decisions on this are taken: text WDM to 82055 to find out what you can do.”


He describes how deregulation of commodity markets in the 1990s has enabled bankers, such as Goldman Sachs and Deutche Bank, to speculate on the price...

Thank you for joining our fight to stop bankers betting on food and causing hunger.

We will keep you updated as the campaign progresses.

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Baffled by 'derivatives'? Do you know your 'over the counter' from your 'hedge'? Food speculation is an issue that can get quite technical but here's our jargon busting glossary which will help steer you around the murky waters of financial markets.

Clearing exchange

A clearing exchange acts as the intermediary between the buyer and seller of a derivatives contract. So instead of the buyer and seller interacting directly, the clearning exchange becomes the buyer to each seller, and the seller to each buyer, of a contract. The clearing entity makes the payments to each side of the deal,
covering the buyer and seller from the risk of the other side defaulting. This in turn provides financial stability by insuring both parties against default.

In contrast, derivative contracts which are sold directly between two parties (see over-thecounter derivatives below) can be defaulted on as either side may not deliver either the goods or the money. It was non-payment of derivatives
contracts (not traded through clearing exchanges) which contributed to the 2007/08 financial crisis.

In return for being protected from default, buyers and sellers pay a fee to clearing
exchanges. This protects traders from default by the other party and creates a...

Banks are earning huge profits from betting on food prices in unregulated financial markets. This creates instability and pushes up global food prices, making poor families around the world go hungry and forcing millions into deeper poverty.

What is the problem?

A woman tossing black beansBig investment banks are betting on the price of staple foods, like wheat, maize and soya. This is causing food prices to rise and making people go hungry.

Read more

What is being done?

A thumbnail of the infographicWDM is campaigning to put pressure on the UK government to back...

Tim Jones, used to be policy officer

I don’t drink coffee. Good job as the price of coffee traded in London shot-up by 20 per cent in just three days at the start of this week.

What could possibly cause such a huge jump in prices? Maybe it’s extra demand for the stimulant after the lack of stimulation in the first week of world cup matches? Seems unlikely.

Has a massive catastrophe wiped out huge swaths of coffee production? Not that I have heard. World exports of coffee have fallen a bit between October and April. But this should cause a gradual rise in price, not a sudden spike.

The Financial Times reports that hedge funds have been betting on the price of coffee falling for the past two years. This betting or speculation has depressed the price of coffee, leading to lower prices for farmers, but a cheaper cuppa for you.

Earlier this week one unidentified trading company decided to call the hedge funds on their bets; they asked for them to sell some real coffee. This is a bit of a problem in the world of speculation, where contracts in food are continually traded without any food changing hands. The hedge...



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